Analyzing the Impact of Sunk Cost effect on Low-Cost Carriers in the GCC: A case of Wizz Air

Hasinul Hussan Siddique, Sheikh Rayyan bin Hasan, Sheikh Zain bin Hasan

Abstract


This study investigates the operational strategies of low-cost carriers (LCCs) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region, focusing on Wizz Air’s market entry and subsequent exit in the UAE. Utilizing the framework established by Schlumberger and Weisskopf (2014), the implications of sunk costs are explored, particularly in regulated environments characterized by unique economic factors. The aviation market in the UAE presents a unique landscape influenced by a range of rentier economics and competitive dynamics. Wizz Air’s entry into this market marked a notable deployment of a purist lean business model, distinct from legacy of the hub-and-spoke systems. This study seeks to analyze whether the decision-making processes of Wizz Air are affected by sunk costs and how these factors interact with LCC operations in the region. This study employs comparative analysis, benchmarking Wizz Air against peer European no-frills airlines, including Ryanair. Data was collected from industry reports, research publications, and financial statements, to assess the effectiveness of Wizz Air’s operational strategies and decision-making processes regarding its investment in the UAE. Evidence suggests a reverse sunk cost effect in Wizz Air's case; a behavioral phenomenon where the company’s initial substantial investments reduced the likelihood of continued financial commitment. This behaviour contradicts most behavioral economics literature on sunk cost fallacy, where escalation of commitment typically increases with sunk costs. The results indicate that Wizz Air’s reluctance to invest further in the UAE can be attributed to a calculated response to perceived risks and operational challenges unique to the Gulf market. This study concludes that Wizz Air’s exit from the UAE; displayed a behaviour based on rational disengagement arising from loss aversion, deeply rooted in the managerial decision-making processes.


Full Text:

PDF

References


Alamdari, F., Fagan, S. (2005). Impact of the adherence to the original low‐cost model on the profitability of low‐cost airlines. Transport Reviews 25, 377-392. https://doi:10.1080/01441640500038748

Alkaabi, K. (2014). Geographies of Middle Eastern Air Transport. In: Goetz, A.R., Budd, L., (Eds), The Geographies of Air Transport. Farnham: Ashgate Publishing Limited, pp. 231- 246.

https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315557779

Antonoaldo N. (2025). No 'favouritism' for Etihad in Abu Dhabi. Gulf News. 22 July 2025 available at https://gulfnews.com/business/aviation/no-favouritism-for-etihad-at-abu-dhabi-airport-says-ceo-antonoaldo-neves-1.500206495 Retrieved 24/09/2025.

Arkes, B., C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Journal of Organisational Behaviour Human Decision Process. 35 (1), 124–140. https://doi:10.1016/0749-5978(85)90049-4

Augenblick, N., (2016). The sunk-cost fallacy in penny auctions. The Revenue of Economic Studies 83 (1), 58–86. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdv037

Bowen, J. (2019). Low-Cost Carriers in Emerging Countries. 1st edition. Elsevier, Amsterdam and Cambridge (MA). eBook ISBN: 9780128113943

CAPA's Global Aviation Industry Outlook 2013, extracted from CAPA's Airline Leader, Issue 17, Apr/May (2013). Available at http://centreforaviation.com Retrieved 24/09/2025.

De Neufville, R. (2005). Le Devenir Des Aéroports Secondaires: Bases D’un Réseau Parallèle De Transport Aérien? Les Cahiers Scientifiques du Transport 47: 11–38. DOI: 10.1080/03081060701835688

Godinho, V. (2023). July-August). Full Thrust. Business Traveller, 20+. https://link.gale.com/apps/doc/A776420900/AONE?u=anon~a498d943&sid=googleScholar&xid=4f20aaf0

Hal R. A., Laura H. (July 2000). The role of probability of success estimates in the sunk cost effect. Journal of Behavioural Decision Making 13(3):295-306. https://doi.org/10.1002/1099-0771(200007/09)13:3<295::AID-BDM353>3.0.CO;2-6

Hooper, P., Walker, S., Moore, C., Al Zubaidi, Z., (2011). The development of the Gulf region’s air transport networks – The first century. Journal of Air Transport Management 17, 325-332. DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2011.02.001

Hu, X., Sy, M. & Wu, L. (2019). Dynamic Optimality of Airline Fuel Cost Hedging. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3488128

Hughes J., (2025). Global Annual Activity and Sustainability Report available on https://www.cae.com/media/documents/FY24_Global_Annual_Activity_and_Sustainability_Report-en.pdf . Retrieved 24/09/2025

Ishutkina, M., and Hansmann, J. 2009. Analysis of the Interaction between Air Transport and Economic Activity. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/44957

Jasper, Christopher (2025-07-20). Wizz Air quit Gulf after Abu Dhabi went back on deal, boss says. The Telegraph. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/07/20/wizz-air-quit-gulf-abu-dhabi-reneged-deal-boss-says/ Retrieved 24/09/2025.

Marcello et al. (2022). Sunk cost in Investment decisions. Journal of Economic Behaviour & Organisation. Vol. 200 Aug 2022 pp 1105-1135 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.06.028

Neufvil, R. & R.Odini (2003). Airport Systems: Planning, Design, and Management. New York. McGraw Hill.

Nitin, K. B. et. al. (2024). Income and Wealth Inequality in India, 1922-2023: The Rise of the Billionaire Raj, World Inequality Lab Working Paper 2024/09

Kevin Rozario. (2014). The Middle East’s low-cost revolution led by Flydubai. Monday, 24 November 2014 13:05 available at https://www.trbusiness.com/regional-news/middle-east/exclusive-the-middle-easts-low-cost-revolution-led-by-flydubai/35566 Retrieved 24/09/2025.

Klophaus, R., Conrady, R., Fichert, F. (2012). Low-Cost Carriers Going Hybrid: Evidence from Europe. Journal of Air Transport Management 23, 54-58. https://10.1016/j.jairtraman.2012.01.015

Low-cost carrier Wizz Air to exit Abu Dhabi operations. Khaleej Times. (14 July 2025) available at https://gulfnews.com/business/aviation/wizz-air-to-exit-abu-dhabi-operations-by-september-1-refocus-on-europe-1.500197356 Retrieved 24/09/2025.

Morrison, W.G., Mason, K.J. (2016). Low-cost carriers in the Middle East and North Africa: Prospects and strategies. Research in Transportation Business and Management 21, 54-67. https://doi:10.2139/ssrn.2801752

Negrini, M., Riedl, A., & Wibral, M. (2022). Sunk cost in investment decisions. Journal of Economic Behaviour & Organization, 200.1105-1135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.06.028

Polites, G. L. and Karahanna, E. (2012). Shackled to the Status Quo: The Inhibiting Effects of Incumbent System Habit, Switching Costs, and Inertia on New System Acceptance. MIS Quarterly, 36(1). https://doi.org/10.25300/misq/2012/36.1.02

Rampini, A. and Viswanathan, A. S. S. (2013). Dynamic Risk Management. ERN: Other Microeconomics: Intertemporal Firm Choice & Growth. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1875051

Ross, J. and Staw, B. M. (1993). Organizational escalation and exit: Lessons from the Shoreham nuclear power plant. Academy of Management Journal, 36(4):701–732.

Roth, S., Robbert, T., Straus, L., (2015). On the sunk-cost effect in economic decision-making: a meta-analytic review. Business Research. 8 (1), 99–138. https://doi:10.1007/s40685- 014- 0014-8

Schlumberger, Charles E., & Nora Weisskopf. (2014). Ready for Takeoff? The Potential for Low-Cost Carriers in Developing Countries. Directions in Development. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-0282-9

Sleesman, D.J., Conlon, D.E., McNamara, G. , Miles, J.E. , (2012). Cleaning up the big muddy: a meta-analytic review of the determinants of escalation of commitment. Academy of Management Journal. 55 (3), 541–562. https://doi:10.1007/s40685-014-0014-8

Strube, M. J. (1988). The decision to leave an abusive relationship: Empirical evidence and

theoretical issues. Psychological Bulletin, 104(2):236–250. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.104.2.236

Tarry, C. 2010. Focus: Low-Cost Commodity. Airline Business, January 21. http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/focus-low-cost-commodity-337437

Thaler, R. (1980). Toward a positive theory of consumer choice. Journal of Economic Behaviour & Organization, 1, 39–60. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2681(80)90051-7

Weisskopf, N. (2010). Global Expansion Strategies for Low-cost Airlines. Unpublished dissertation. University of Edinburgh.

Wizz Air Holdings plc. Annual Report and Accounts (2024). Available at https://www.annualreports.com/Company/wizz-air-holdings-plc Retrieved 24/09/2025.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.5296/csbm.v11i1.23215

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2025 HASINUL HUSSAN SIDDIQUE

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Case Studies in Business and Management    ISSN 2333-3324    E-mail: csbm@macrothink.org

Copyright © Macrothink Institute 

To make sure that you can receive messages from us, please add the 'macrothink.org' domain to your e-mail 'safe list'. If you do not receive e-mail in your 'inbox', check your 'bulk mail' or 'junk mail' folders.